Grocery Retail Market in UK by Product and Distribution Channel - Forecast and Analysis 2023-2027

Published: Feb 2023 Pages: 132 SKU: IRTNTR44983

UK Grocery Retail Market Forecast 2023-2027

The UK Grocery Retail Market size is projected to increase by USD 52.54 billion and the market size is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 3.83% between 2022 and 2027. In 2017 the size of the market was valued at USD 217 billion.

The market is primarily driven by the diverse needs of consumers. With a significant portion of retail sales attributed to grocery shopping, there's a consistent demand for groceries among British consumers. This demand fuels the growth of grocery retailers and supermarket chains, which play a vital role in the UK's retail sector. London, as a major economic hub, influences trends and sales patterns in the grocery market nationwide. Moreover, the presence of established British grocery retailers and supermarket giants further solidifies the market's stability and growth potential. These factors collectively contribute to the robustness of the UK's grocery retailing industry.

Overview of the UK Grocery Retail Market

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Market Overview

Our researchers analyzed the data with 2022 as the base year, along with the key trends, and challenges. A holistic market analysis and report of drivers, trends, and challenges will help stakeholders in the value chain refine their marketing strategies to gain a competitive advantage.

Consumer Trends and Preferences

Innovative store layouts and offerings to amplify customer experience is an ongoing trend driving the market. The use of both traditional and online channels for shopping is increasing in the country, putting pressure on distribution channels like department stores, specialty stores, hypermarkets, and supermarkets to adopt innovative strategies. The prevalence of smartphones has led to the development of IoT devices like Beacons, which enable location-based services and precise targeting for department stores. Additionally, retailers and supermarkets in the UK are introducing technologies like 3D sensors to enhance safety and curb the spread of COVID-19. The adoption of beacon technologies is expected to increase customer interaction and have a positive impact on the market and trends during the forecast period.

Future Outlook and Predictions

The future projection for the market is one of intense competition and dynamic changes. With the rise of e-commerce and delivery services, traditional grocery stores face challenges to retain their market share. British retailers are adapting, focusing on building customer loyalty through personalized content and streamlined delivery services. The UK's grocery sector is also witnessing increased competition from international players like Canada and France, further spurring innovation. Local shops are leveraging their proximity and community ties to compete with larger supermarket chains. Economic shifts and evolving consumer preferences will continue shaping the landscape of the UK grocery market.

Major Challenges and Opportunities

The threat of counterfeit grocery products is a major challenge hindering market. The market is facing a significant threat from counterfeits, which are widely available in various product categories, including FMCGs and electronics. Customers are finding it challenging to differentiate between counterfeit and genuine products, and the counterfeit market is flourishing through online platforms. This is negatively impacting the sales of major retailers and tarnishing the reputation of genuine manufacturers. Duplicate brands price their products lower than genuine ones, but they lack quality and durability due to low production costs. Counterfeit products often mislead consumers with fake packaging and similar product names, particularly in rural areas. The prevalence of counterfeit products is likely to impede the growth of the market during the forecast period.

Customer Landscape

The market trends and analysis report includes the adoption lifecycle of the market, covering from the innovator’s stage to the laggard’s stage. It focuses on adoption rates in different regions based on penetration. Furthermore, the Market forecasting report also includes key purchase criteria and drivers of price sensitivity to help companies evaluate and develop their growth strategies.

Global Market in UK Customer Landscape

Key Players in the Grocery Retail Market

Companies are implementing various strategies, such as strategic alliances, partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, geographical expansion, and product/service launches, to enhance their presence in the market.

  • Key Offering- EG Group is a world-leading independent convenience retailer that deals with food service, grocery, merchandise, and fuel stations across Europe, the United States, and Australia. The key offerings of the company include a premier 30-gram protein plus energy and immune support shake. 
  • Key Offering-  Amazon offers 400-gram English oven multigrain bread which is used as a health supplement meal.  
  • Key Offering- Carrefour offers aero honeycomb chocolate bar which is used as a confectionery food item.

The market growth analysis report also includes detailed analyses of the competitive landscape of the market and information about 15 market players, including:

  • Costco Wholesale Corp.
  • EH Booth and Co. Ltd.
  • Farmfoods Ltd.
  • Heron Foods Ltd.
  • HOFER KG
  • Iceland Foods Ltd.
  • Lidl US LLC
  • Marks and Spencer Plc
  • National Coop Grocers
  • Ocado Retail Ltd.
  • PROUDFOOT SUPERMARKETS
  • SPAR (UK) Ltd.
  • Tesco Plc
  • Waitrose Ltd.
  • Wm Morrison Supermarkets Ltd.

Qualitative and quantitative analysis of vendors has been conducted to help clients understand the wider business environment as well as the strengths and weaknesses of key market players. Data is qualitatively analyzed to categorize vendors as pure play, category-focused, industry-focused, and diversified; it is quantitatively analyzed to categorize vendors as dominant, leading, strong, tentative, and weak.

Market Segmentation by Product, Distribution Channel

Market by Product

The market share growth by the food and beverages segment will be significant during the forecast period. The foods and beverages segment includes a wide range of products, such as fruits and vegetables, dairy products, frozen foods, fresh and frozen meat, baked products, snack foods, canned foods, and condiments. The most commonly preferred grocery products in this segment include fresh bread, salty snacks, and cereals. 

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The food and beverages segment was valued at USD 168.29 billion in 2017 and continued to grow until 2021This segment has witnessed rapid growth, driven by the growing demand for snacks, coupled with product innovation by vendors in terms of flavors. With a rise in the per capita income of consumers, there is a rapid shift in their consumption patterns in favor of organic and gluten-free products when compared with generic products. The demand for frozen snacks, for example, has witnessed significant growth, especially among teenagers. Vendors are constantly focusing on innovating various flavors and ingredients and offering products that are healthy and nutritious for children. Furthermore, vendors are offering fruit snacks to children who are reluctant to consume natural fruits. Thus, growth in the foods and beverages segment will boost the growth of the market during the forecast period.

Market by Distribution Channel

Discount stores are expected to witness one of the fastest growth rates during the forecast period. By 2023, discount stores are expected to claim USD 3.75 of every USD 12.50 spent on grocery items. Discount stores mainly offer private-label brands at a low cost in high-traffic areas. The growing reception of private-label brands by consumers, along with improvement in brand value and the quality of these products, is expected to propel the growth of this segment during the forecast period. The arrival of German discounters Aldi and Lidl in the UK increased the popularity of discount stores in the country. Thus, the abovementioned factors will boost the growth of the discount stores in the market during the forecast period.

Segment Overview

The market growth and forecasting market report covers revenue at global, regional & country levels and provides an analysis of the latest trends and opportunities from 2017 to 2027. 

  • Product Outlook (USD Billion, 2017 - 2027)
    • Food and beverages
    • Non Food
  • Distribution Channel Outlook (USD Billion, 2017 - 2027)
    • Hypermarkets and supermarkets
    • Convenience stores
    • Discount stores
    • Online
    • Others

Market Analyst Overview

The Market is characterized by diverse retail formats including hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores, offering a wide range of products from household items to alcoholic and soft drinks. With the rise of online food and grocery markets, customer-facing technology plays a crucial role in enhancing the shopping experience. Food inflation impacts value for money, driving consumers to seek competitive prices. Specialty retailers like food and drink specialists cater to niche markets, while convenience stores and gas stations offer convenience for on-the-go purchases. Tobacco and e-cigarettes remain significant categories alongside hot and soft drinks, reflecting changing consumer preferences and lifestyle trends.

Alcoholic drinks and hot beverages remain staples in households worldwide, alongside essential household products. These items are readily available in various retail outlets, including hypermarkets, supermarkets, and hard discounters, catering to diverse consumer preferences. With the rapid growth of the online food & grocery market, consumers now have the convenience of purchasing alcoholic drinks, hot drinks, and household products from the comfort of their homes. Additionally, other online retail platforms offer a wide array of choices for consumers seeking convenience and variety.

In the UK, the food & grocery retailing market continues to evolve, with online platforms playing an increasingly significant role. Consumers can access a wide range of alcoholic drinks, hot beverages, and household products through online channels, contributing to the growth and competitiveness of the market. As consumer preferences continue to shift towards convenience and digitalization, online food & grocery retailing is expected to further expand its presence in the UK retail landscape. 

Grocery Retail Market In UK Scope

Report Coverage

Details

Page number

132

Base year

2022

Historic period

2017-2021

Forecast period

2023-2027

Growth momentum & CAGR

Accelerate at a CAGR of 3.83%

Market growth 2023-2027

USD 52.54 billion

Market structure

USD Fragmented

YoY growth 2022-2023(%)

3.46

Competitive landscape

Leading Vendors, Market Positioning of Vendors, Competitive Strategies, and Industry Risks

Key companies profiled

Amazon.com Inc., Carrefour SA, Costco Wholesale Corp., EG Group, EH Booth and Co. Ltd., Farmfoods Ltd., Heron Foods Ltd., HOFER KG, Iceland Foods Ltd., Lidl US LLC, Marks and Spencer Plc, National Coop Grocers, Ocado Retail Ltd., PROUDFOOT SUPERMARKETS, SPAR (UK) Ltd., Tesco Plc, Waitrose Ltd., Wm Morrison Supermarkets Ltd., McCormick and Co. Inc., and B and M Retail Ltd.

Market dynamics

Parent market analysis, market growth and trends, Market growth inducers and obstacles, Fast-growing and slow-growing segment analysis, COVID-19 impact and recovery analysis and future consumer dynamics, Market condition analysis for the forecast period.

Customization purview

If our report has not included the data that you are looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and get segments customized.

 

 

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What are the Key Data Covered in this Market Research and Growth Report?

  • CAGR of the market during the forecast period
  • Detailed information on factors that will drive the growth of the market between 2023 and 2027
  • Precise estimation of the size of the market size and its contribution to the market in focus on the parent market
  • Accurate predictions about upcoming trends and changes in consumer behavior
  • Growth of the market industry across the UK
  • A thorough analysis of the market’s competitive landscape and detailed information about vendors
  • Comprehensive analysis of factors that will challenge the growth of the market vendors

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1 Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market overview
    • Exhibit 01: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Overview
    • Exhibit 02: Executive Summary – Data Table on Market Overview
    • Exhibit 03: Executive Summary – Chart on Country Market Characteristics
    • Exhibit 04: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by Product
    • Exhibit 05: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by Distribution Channel
    • Exhibit 06: Executive Summary – Chart on Vendor Market Positioning

2 Market Landscape

  • 2.1 Market ecosystem
    • Exhibit 07: Parent market
    • Exhibit 08: Market Characteristics

3 Market Sizing

  • 3.1 Market definition
    • Exhibit 09: Offerings of vendors included in the market definition
  • 3.2 Market segment analysis
    • Exhibit 10: Market segments
  • 3.3 Market size 2022
    • 3.4 Market outlook: Forecast for 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 11: Chart on UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 12: Data Table on UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 13: Chart on UK: Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 14: Data Table on UK: Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)

    4 Historic Market Size

    • 4.1 Grocery retail market in UK 2017 - 2021
      • Exhibit 15: Historic Market Size – Data Table on Grocery retail market in UK 2017 - 2021 ($ billion)
    • 4.2 Product Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021
      • Exhibit 16: Historic Market Size – Product Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ billion)
    • 4.3 Distribution channel Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021
      • Exhibit 17: Historic Market Size – Distribution channel Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ billion)

    5 Five Forces Analysis

    • 5.1 Five forces summary
      • Exhibit 18: Five forces analysis - Comparison between 2022 and 2027
    • 5.2 Bargaining power of buyers
      • Exhibit 19: Chart on Bargaining power of buyers – Impact of key factors 2022 and 2027
    • 5.3 Bargaining power of suppliers
      • Exhibit 20: Bargaining power of suppliers – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
    • 5.4 Threat of new entrants
      • Exhibit 21: Threat of new entrants – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
    • 5.5 Threat of substitutes
      • Exhibit 22: Threat of substitutes – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
    • 5.6 Threat of rivalry
      • Exhibit 23: Threat of rivalry – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
    • 5.7 Market condition
      • Exhibit 24: Chart on Market condition - Five forces 2022 and 2027

    6 Market Segmentation by Product

    • 6.1 Market segments
      • Exhibit 25: Chart on Product - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 26: Data Table on Product - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
    • 6.2 Comparison by Product
      • Exhibit 27: Chart on Comparison by Product
      • Exhibit 28: Data Table on Comparison by Product
    • 6.3 Food and beverages - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 29: Chart on Food and beverages - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 30: Data Table on Food and beverages - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 31: Chart on Food and beverages - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 32: Data Table on Food and beverages - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 6.4 Non food - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 33: Chart on Non food - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 34: Data Table on Non food - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 35: Chart on Non food - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 36: Data Table on Non food - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 6.5 Market opportunity by Product
      • Exhibit 37: Market opportunity by Product ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 38: Data Table on Market opportunity by Product ($ billion)

    7 Market Segmentation by Distribution Channel

    • 7.1 Market segments
      • Exhibit 39: Chart on Distribution Channel - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 40: Data Table on Distribution Channel - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
    • 7.2 Comparison by Distribution Channel
      • Exhibit 41: Chart on Comparison by Distribution Channel
      • Exhibit 42: Data Table on Comparison by Distribution Channel
    • 7.3 Hypermarkets and supermarkets - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 43: Chart on Hypermarkets and supermarkets - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 44: Data Table on Hypermarkets and supermarkets - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 45: Chart on Hypermarkets and supermarkets - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 46: Data Table on Hypermarkets and supermarkets - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 7.4 Convenience stores - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 47: Chart on Convenience stores - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 48: Data Table on Convenience stores - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 49: Chart on Convenience stores - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 50: Data Table on Convenience stores - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 7.5 Discount stores - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 51: Chart on Discount stores - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 52: Data Table on Discount stores - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 53: Chart on Discount stores - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 54: Data Table on Discount stores - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 7.6 Online - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 55: Chart on Online - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 56: Data Table on Online - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 57: Chart on Online - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 58: Data Table on Online - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 7.7 Others - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
      • Exhibit 59: Chart on Others - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 60: Data Table on Others - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 61: Chart on Others - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
      • Exhibit 62: Data Table on Others - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • 7.8 Market opportunity by Distribution Channel
      • Exhibit 63: Market opportunity by Distribution Channel ($ billion)
      • Exhibit 64: Data Table on Market opportunity by Distribution Channel ($ billion)

    8 Customer Landscape

    • 8.1 Customer landscape overview
      • Exhibit 65: Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria

    9 Drivers, Challenges, and Trends

    • 9.1 Market drivers
      • 9.2 Market challenges
        • 9.3 Impact of drivers and challenges
          • Exhibit 66: Impact of drivers and challenges in 2022 and 2027
        • 9.4 Market trends

          10 Vendor Landscape

          • 10.1 Overview
            • 10.2 Vendor landscape
              • Exhibit 67: Overview on Criticality of inputs and Factors of differentiation
            • 10.3 Landscape disruption
              • Exhibit 68: Overview on factors of disruption
            • 10.4 Industry risks
              • Exhibit 69: Impact of key risks on business

            11 Vendor Analysis

            • 11.1 Vendors covered
              • Exhibit 70: Vendors covered
            • 11.2 Market positioning of vendors
              • Exhibit 71: Matrix on vendor position and classification
            • 11.3 Amazon.com Inc.
              • Exhibit 72: Amazon.com Inc. - Overview
              • Exhibit 73: Amazon.com Inc. - Business segments
              • Exhibit 74: Amazon.com Inc. - Key news
              • Exhibit 75: Amazon.com Inc. - Key offerings
              • Exhibit 76: Amazon.com Inc. - Segment focus
            • 11.4 B and M Retail Ltd
              • Exhibit 77: B and M Retail Ltd - Overview
              • Exhibit 78: B and M Retail Ltd - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 79: B and M Retail Ltd - Key offerings
            • 11.5 Costco Wholesale Corp.
              • Exhibit 80: Costco Wholesale Corp. - Overview
              • Exhibit 81: Costco Wholesale Corp. - Business segments
              • Exhibit 82: Costco Wholesale Corp. - Key offerings
              • Exhibit 83: Costco Wholesale Corp. - Segment focus
            • 11.6 EG Group
              • Exhibit 84: EG Group - Overview
              • Exhibit 85: EG Group - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 86: EG Group - Key offerings
            • 11.7 EH Booth and Co. Ltd.
              • Exhibit 87: EH Booth and Co. Ltd. - Overview
              • Exhibit 88: EH Booth and Co. Ltd. - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 89: EH Booth and Co. Ltd. - Key offerings
            • 11.8 Farmfoods Ltd.
              • Exhibit 90: Farmfoods Ltd. - Overview
              • Exhibit 91: Farmfoods Ltd. - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 92: Farmfoods Ltd. - Key offerings
            • 11.9 HOFER KG
              • Exhibit 93: HOFER KG - Overview
              • Exhibit 94: HOFER KG - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 95: HOFER KG - Key offerings
            • 11.10 Iceland Foods Ltd.
              • Exhibit 96: Iceland Foods Ltd. - Overview
              • Exhibit 97: Iceland Foods Ltd. - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 98: Iceland Foods Ltd. - Key offerings
            • 11.11 Lidl US LLC
              • Exhibit 99: Lidl US LLC - Overview
              • Exhibit 100: Lidl US LLC - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 101: Lidl US LLC - Key offerings
            • 11.12 Marks and Spencer Plc
              • Exhibit 102: Marks and Spencer Plc - Overview
              • Exhibit 103: Marks and Spencer Plc - Business segments
              • Exhibit 104: Marks and Spencer Plc - Key offerings
              • Exhibit 105: Marks and Spencer Plc - Segment focus
            • 11.13 National Coop Grocers
              • Exhibit 106: National Coop Grocers - Overview
              • Exhibit 107: National Coop Grocers - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 108: National Coop Grocers - Key offerings
            • 11.14 Ocado Retail Ltd.
              • Exhibit 109: Ocado Retail Ltd. - Overview
              • Exhibit 110: Ocado Retail Ltd. - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 111: Ocado Retail Ltd. - Key offerings
            • 11.15 Tesco Plc
              • Exhibit 112: Tesco Plc - Overview
              • Exhibit 113: Tesco Plc - Business segments
              • Exhibit 114: Tesco Plc - Key offerings
              • Exhibit 115: Tesco Plc - Segment focus
            • 11.16 Waitrose Ltd.
              • Exhibit 116: Waitrose Ltd. - Overview
              • Exhibit 117: Waitrose Ltd. - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 118: Waitrose Ltd. - Key offerings
            • 11.17 Wm Morrison Supermarkets Ltd.
              • Exhibit 119: Wm Morrison Supermarkets Ltd. - Overview
              • Exhibit 120: Wm Morrison Supermarkets Ltd. - Product / Service
              • Exhibit 121: Wm Morrison Supermarkets Ltd. - Key offerings

            12 Appendix

            • 12.1 Scope of the report
              • 12.2 Inclusions and exclusions checklist
                • Exhibit 122: Inclusions checklist
                • Exhibit 123: Exclusions checklist
              • 12.3 Currency conversion rates for US$
                • Exhibit 124: Currency conversion rates for US$
              • 12.4 Research methodology
                • Exhibit 125: Research methodology
                • Exhibit 126: Validation techniques employed for market sizing
                • Exhibit 127: Information sources
              • 12.5 List of abbreviations
                • Exhibit 128: List of abbreviations

              Research Framework

              Technavio presents a detailed picture of the market by way of study, synthesis, and summation of data from multiple sources. The analysts have presented the various facets of the market with a particular focus on identifying the key industry influencers. The data thus presented is comprehensive, reliable, and the result of extensive research, both primary and secondary.

              INFORMATION SOURCES

              Primary sources

              • Manufacturers and suppliers
              • Channel partners
              • Industry experts
              • Strategic decision makers

              Secondary sources

              • Industry journals and periodicals
              • Government data
              • Financial reports of key industry players
              • Historical data
              • Press releases

              DATA ANALYSIS

              Data Synthesis

              • Collation of data
              • Estimation of key figures
              • Analysis of derived insights

              Data Validation

              • Triangulation with data models
              • Reference against proprietary databases
              • Corroboration with industry experts

              REPORT WRITING

              Qualitative

              • Market drivers
              • Market challenges
              • Market trends
              • Five forces analysis

              Quantitative

              • Market size and forecast
              • Market segmentation
              • Geographical insights
              • Competitive landscape

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              Key Questions Answered

              • What are the key global market and the regional market share?
              • What are the revenue-generating key market segments?
              • What are the key factors driving and challenging this market’s growth?
              • Who are the key market vendors and their growth strategies?
              • What are the latest trends influencing the growth of this market?
              • What are the variables influencing the market growth in the primary regions?
              • What are the factors influencing the growth of the parent market?

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