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The active protection system (APS) market size is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 8.64% between 2023 and 2028. The market size is forecast to increase by USD 1.76 billion. The growth of the market depends on several factors such as the development of advanced combat systems, the development of tactical radars for APS and the fast-paced development of anti-tank missiles.
The report includes a comprehensive outlook on the active protection system (APS) market offering forecasts for the industry segmented by Type, which comprises soft-kill and hard-kill. Additionally, it categorizes Platform into land-based, marine, and airborne, and covers Geography regions, including North America, APAC, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and South America. The report provides market size, historical data spanning from 2018 to 2022, and future projections, all presented in terms of value in USD billion for each of the mentioned segments.
Active Protection System (APS) Market Forecast 2024-2028
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Our researchers studied the data for years, with 2023 as the base year and 2024 as the estimated year, and presented the key drivers, trends, and challenges for the market.
The function of an APS highly depends on the precision of its integrated radar that precisely identifies its threat at the earliest. Several developments in the field of radar technology are in progress, which is likely to increase the operation of APS, boosting its demand further. One such recent development is RADAs Compact Hemispheric Radar (CHR), which detects, tracks, and classifies all relevant threats fired against a combat vehicle, such as ATGM, RPGs, and tank rounds. CHR consists of three to four radars connected as a system, thereby providing hemispheric coverage to AFVs.
Moreover, CHR can be integrated with laser jammers/smoke grenade launching systems that provide soft-kill APS (RSK-51 system) against ATGMs. The RADA CHR is expected to be integrated with Israel's Iron Fist APS to boost its capabilities against threats which results in active protection system (APS) market expansion. Hence, such factors are expected to drive the growth of the active protection system (APS) market during the forecast period.
Armed forces worldwide are moving toward a modular architecture for their next-generation self-protection system requirements. The next-generation modular APS kits will improve the potential to deliver future solutions adapted to a wide range of platforms and will be easily upgradeable. The forces place a premium on maximizing vehicle survivability by incorporating modern and next-generation multi-layered protective systems. With the rising significance of APSs, commercial companies and military operators are now focused on numerous coordinated layers of active and passive sensors and countermeasures. APS has been the most requested technology to handle current situational awareness and survivability concerns. This is due to the threat posed by projectiles such as RPGs, loitering bombs, and anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs).
For instance, in November 2021, Leidos Inc. announced its plans to continue the development of an advanced active acoustic countermeasure to help defend the US and allied submarine forces against modern acoustic-homing torpedoes. This countermeasure will lead to noise generation to mislead the sonar guidance systems of arriving torpedoes, zeroing in on the sounds created by target submarines which can have a positive impact on active protection system (APS) market growth. Hence, such factors are expected to fuel the growth of the market during the forecast period.
The high cost of developing radar systems is one of the primary reasons impeding the growth of the radar systems industry. This can negatively affect the active protection system market growth. Radar is one of the most important components of active protection systems. It helps monitor, engage, and identify approaching threats and provides signals to the receptor to act against them. As a result, large expenditures are required at several stages of the radar system value chain, such as research and development, production, system integration, and assembly. Radar systems are primarily used in military applications.
However, to maintain technological leadership and develop highly functional and efficient radar systems in the current competitive environment. Key active protection system (APS) market companies have invested significantly in weapon testing fields and infrastructure and collaborated with universities, research institutes, and other companies for research and development. Hence, such factors may hinder the growth of the market during the forecast period.
The market share growth by the soft-skill segment will be significant during the forecast period. The growth of the soft-kill segment is attributed to the high demand for soft-kill self-protection systems owing to heightened investment in research, development, testing, and evaluation approaches of electronic warfare countermeasures and counter-unmanned aerial systems (C-UAS).
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The soft-skill segment was the largest and was valued at USD 1.33 billion in 2018. Soft-kill systems are designed to eliminate guided weapons by disguising the protected vehicle from them (e.g., with a smoke screen) or by altering their guidance with radiation (e.g., with a dazzler). Some systems, such as the Type 99 tanks JD-3, employ laser dazzlers to distract the operator or sensors of semi-automatic command to line of sight (SACLOS) anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs). Others employ strong infrared emitters to conceal the IR tracking flare found on various SACLOS ATGMs, like the Shtora-1. Hence, such factors show that the soft-kill segment in the market is expected to grow during the forecast period.
Platform Segment Analysis:
Based on the platform, the market has been segmented into land-based, marine, and airborne. The land-based segment will account for the largest share of this segment. The growth of the land-based segment is attributed to the rising demand for an active protection system market on land-based platforms and rising technological advancement in soft-kill systems, which include electronic and laser-based jamming coupled with smoke dispensers. In addition, several countries are making investments in these platforms for defence purposes. For instance, in February 2021, Bharat Forge announced that it had received an order from the Defense Ministry of the Government of India under emergency procurement worth USD 1.17 billion to supply its Kalyani M4 mine protection vehicles to the Army. The deal was for 27 vehicles, according to Indian Army sources. The Indian Army has since placed further orders for these vehicles. Hence, such factors are expected to drive the growth of the land-based segment in the market during the forecast period.
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Europe is estimated to contribute 35% to the growth by 2028. Technavio’s analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends, drivers, and challenges that are expected to shape the market during the forecast period. Another region offering significant growth opportunities to companies is North America. The US has an extensive military infrastructure and owns the largest fleet of platforms like battle tanks, aircraft carriers, and helicopters. It also owns the largest military bases. The country, through its cooperative defence policies with allies, deploys its troops in the larger geography for missions concerning counterterrorism and peacekeeping. The US ground troops are currently deployed in 177 countries, which include Afghanistan, Iraq, Kuwait, Syria, and Ukraine. The country also supports Baltic nations to counter the growing dominance of Russia.
Moreover, the rising threat from antitank-guided missiles and loitering munitions has driven the US armed forces to develop self-defence protection systems such as MAPS, Quick Kill, Iron Curtain, and directed energy weapons to safeguard its territory from enemies which may increase the significance of the active protection system market in the region. Hence, such factors are expected to fuel the demand for APS in North America during the forecast period.
Companies are implementing various strategies, such as strategic alliances, partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, geographical expansion, and product/service launches, to enhance their presence in the market.
ASELSAN AS - The company offers an active protection system with energy transmission enabling deceptive and noise jamming techniques in a dynamic threat environment.
We also have detailed analyses of the market’s competitive landscape and offer information on 20 market companies, including ASELSAN AS, DornerWorks Ltd., Elbit Systems Ltd., General Dynamics Corp., Hanwha Corp., Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd., KNDS N.V., L3Harris Technologies Inc., Leonardo Spa, Lockheed Martin Corp., Plasan Sasa Ltd., Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd., Raytheon Technologies Corp., Rheinmetall AG, Saab AB, Safran SA, Technology Service Corp., Thales Group, Transvaro Electron Instruments, and HENSOLDT AG
Technavio report provides an in-depth analysis of the market and its players through combined qualitative and quantitative data. The analysis classifies companies into categories based on their business approaches, including pure-play, category-focused, industry-focused, and diversified. Companies are specially categorized into dominant, leading, strong, tentative, and weak, based on their quantitative data analysis.
The active protection system (APS) market report forecasts market growth by revenue at global, regional & country levels and provides an analysis of the latest trends and growth opportunities from 2018 to 2028.
Active Protection System (APS) Market Scope |
|
Report Coverage |
Details |
Page number |
177 |
Base year |
2023 |
Historic period |
2018-2022 |
Forecast period |
2024-2028 |
Growth momentum & CAGR |
Accelerate at a CAGR of 8.64% |
Market Growth 2024-2028 |
USD 1.76 billion |
Market structure |
Fragmented |
YoY growth 2023-2024(%) |
7.96 |
Regional analysis |
North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East and Africa, and South America |
Performing market contribution |
Europe at 35% |
Key countries |
US, Canada, China, UK, and Germany |
Competitive landscape |
Leading Companies, Market Positioning of Companies, Competitive Strategies, and Industry Risks |
Key companies profiled |
ASELSAN AS, DornerWorks Ltd., Elbit Systems Ltd., General Dynamics Corp., Hanwha Corp., Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd., KNDS N.V., L3Harris Technologies Inc., Leonardo Spa, Lockheed Martin Corp., Plasan Sasa Ltd., Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd., Raytheon Technologies Corp., Rheinmetall AG, Saab AB, Safran SA, Technology Service Corp., Thales Group, Transvaro Electron Instruments, and HENSOLDT AG |
Market dynamics |
Parent market analysis, Market growth inducers and obstacles, Fast-growing and slow-growing segment analysis, COVID-19 impact and recovery analysis and future consumer dynamics, Market condition analysis for the forecast period. |
Customization purview |
If our report has not included the data that you are looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and get segments customized. |
We can help! Our analysts can customize this market research report to meet your requirements. Get in touch
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