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The Japanese whiskey market size is forecast to increase by USD 874.5 million, at a CAGR of 11.8% between 2024 and 2028. The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by several key trends. One notable trend is the increasing use of online sales channels for selling alcohol, which has gained popularity among consumers due to the convenience and safety it offers, especially during the ongoing pandemic. Another trend is the growing preference for organic whiskey, as consumers become more health-conscious and seek out products with natural ingredients. Additionally, the market is witnessing a rise in demand for luxury whiskies and super-premium whiskies, driven by the rising disposable income and increasing awareness of Japanese culture and tradition. These factors are expected to fuel market growth and make it a lucrative space for players in the coming years.
The market is experiencing exponential growth, driven by the increasing popularity of whiskey in pubs and bars, happy hours, and the cocktail culture. Mixology and social media have played a significant role in promoting this trend. The on-trade segment, which includes sales through bars and fast casual restaurants, accounts for a major share of the market revenue. Off-trade distribution channels, such as retail shops and online retail channels, are also gaining traction. At the country level, the residential sector's consumption of Japanese whiskey is increasing due to the growing cocktail culture and mixology trends. Offline sales applications continue to dominate, but online sales are also growing rapidly.
The industry's quantitative data reveals a steady increase in sales, while qualitative data indicates a strong consumer preference for premium and super-premium whiskeys. Product pricing remains a key factor influencing market growth. Commercial development and cost are other significant opportunities and challenges for market participants. The regional levels of the market show varying growth rates, with major cities leading the way in terms of sales volume and value. Country GDP and consumer disposable income also impact market growth. Overall, the market is expected to continue its strong growth trajectory in the coming years.
The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in "USD million" for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018 - 2022 for the following segments.
The commercial segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. Japanese whisky continues to garner significant attention in the global beverage market, with projected pricing trends indicating continued growth. The product lifecycle of Japanese whisky reflects its transition from a niche spirit to a mainstream luxury beverage. Our research methodology includes subject-related expert advice, economic, social, and political factors, regulations, and government spending to provide a comprehensive analysis. Economic factors, such as disposable income and exchange rates, influence consumer purchasing power and demand for premium spirits. Social factors, including changing consumer preferences and cultural trends, contribute to the increasing popularity of Japanese whisky. Political factors, including trade agreements and tariffs, impact the availability and affordability of Japanese whisky in various markets.
Regulations and government spending on alcoholic beverage industries also influence the Japanese whisky market. Positive changes, such as increased investment in research and development and marketing efforts, can boost the market's growth. Conversely, negative changes, such as stricter regulations or decreased government support, can hinder market expansion. Japanese whisky's reputation for quality and craftsmanship makes it a desirable choice for establishments seeking to offer diverse and sophisticated beverage selections. It is often featured in high-end bars, restaurants, luxury hotels, and catering services, adding a touch of elegance and refinement to various occasions.
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The commercial segment accounted for USD 688.90 million in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
APAC is estimated to contribute 72% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period. Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
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The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region is projected to exhibit notable growth and increasing demand during the forecast period. This trend is largely driven by the unique flavor profiles, craftsmanship, and cultural allure of Japanese whisky, which has gained significant popularity in countries such as India and Japan. Factors like economic, social, political, and regulatory influences will shape the product lifecycle and pricing trends of Japanese whisky in the APAC region. Subject-related expert advice suggests that economic factors, such as disposable income and consumer preferences, will continue to impact the market positively. Social factors, including changing drinking habits and increasing health consciousness, may bring about negative changes.
Political factors, such as trade policies and tariffs, could also influence pricing and demand. Regulations and government spending on promoting the industry will further contribute to the market's growth. Overall, these factors will shape the Japanese whisky market in the APAC region, creating opportunities and challenges for stakeholders.
Our researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holistic analysis of drivers will help companies refine their marketing strategies to gain a competitive advantage.
Increasing use of online sales channels for selling alcohol is the key driver of the market. The availability of Japanese whisky in bars and pubs, along with the emergence of Happy Hours and cocktail culture, has fueled the demand for this premium spirit. Furthermore, the residential sector's increasing interest in mixology and the growing influence of social media has expanded the consumer base. The on-trade segment, which includes bars and restaurants, and the off-trade distribution channels, such as retail shops and online retail channels, are the major applications for Japanese whisky. The cost-effective nature of online sales and the convenience it offers have led to a significant increase in online sales.
The availability of strong online distribution channels and platform providers is expected to boost the growth of this segment. Consumers are increasingly turning to online channels to compare prices and purchase Japanese whisky. The use of online sales channels provides vendors with opportunities to target consumers without geographical boundaries, improve operational efficiencies, and offer customized products. Quantitative data and qualitative insights reveal that product pricing, economic, political, and social scenarios, and consumer buying behavior are major factors influencing the market. End application industries, such as hospitality and retail, are the major end-users. Major players in the industry include manufacturers, intermediaries, suppliers, and end consumers.
Historical pricing trends and competitive advantage are crucial factors for companies to maintain their market position. The competitive landscape is diverse, with various players focusing on product innovation and strategic partnerships to gain a competitive edge.
Growing preference for organic whiskey is the upcoming trend in the market. The Japanese whisky market is experiencing exponential growth, driven by the increasing demand from emerging economies and the rising preference for lower alcohol variants and organic whisky among health-conscious consumers. This trend is reflected in both the on-trade segment, with an uptick in Japanese whisky sales at bars and pubs, and the off-trade distribution channels, including retail shops and online retail platforms. Happy Hours and cocktail culture continue to fuel sales, with mixology and social media playing significant roles in promoting Japanese whisky. Quantitative data indicates that the market's cost competitiveness, coupled with the growing commercial development in the industry, is contributing to its expansion.
Product pricing, consumer buying behavior, and economic, political, and social scenarios are major factors influencing market segments. End application industries, such as food and beverage and hospitality, are major consumers of Japanese whisky. Major players in the market include manufacturers, intermediaries, suppliers, and end consumers. Historical pricing trends suggest that the industry's competitive advantage lies in its ability to offer high-quality products at competitive prices. Companies are leveraging this advantage to gain market share and expand their reach.
Growing health awareness among consumers is key challenge affecting the market growth. The Japanese whisky market is experiencing exponential growth, driven by the on-trade segment, which includes bars and pubs, and the off-trade distribution channels, such as retail shops and online retail platforms. Happy Hours and cocktail culture, fueled by mixology trends, have contributed significantly to the market's growth in the residential sector. Social media has played a pivotal role in promoting Japanese whisky, expanding its reach to consumers worldwide. However, the market faces challenges from economic, political, and social scenarios, including health consciousness and the rise of substitute products, such as Irish whisky and Scotch whisky. Consumer buying behavior is evolving, with a shift towards lower-priced products and offline sales applications.
Product pricing and cost have become critical factors in the competitive landscape, with major players focusing on competitive advantage through historical pricing trends and innovation. The industry's quantitative and qualitative data reveal that end application industries, including the service sector, intermediaries, manufacturers, suppliers, and end consumers, are shaping the market's growth trajectory. Market segments, such as child markets, continue to emerge, offering new opportunities for growth. The competitive landscape is dynamic, with companies adapting to changing consumer preferences and economic conditions. The future outlook for the Japanese whisky market is promising, with opportunities for innovation and expansion in various market segments.
The market forecasting report includes the adoption lifecycle of the market, covering from the innovator's stage to the laggard's stage. It focuses on adoption rates in different regions based on penetration. Furthermore, the report also includes key purchase criteria and drivers of price sensitivity to help companies evaluate and develop their market growth analysis strategies.
Customer Landscape
Companies are implementing various strategies, such as strategic alliances, partnerships, mergers and acquisitions, geographical expansion, and product/service launches, to enhance their presence in the market.
Asahi Group Holdings Ltd. - The company offers an extensive selection of premium Japanese whiskies, including the renowned Nikka Whisky.
The market research and growth report includes detailed analyses of the competitive landscape of the market and information about key companies, including:
Qualitative and quantitative analysis of companies has been conducted to help clients understand the wider business environment as well as the strengths and weaknesses of key market players. Data is qualitatively analyzed to categorize companies as pure play, category-focused, industry-focused, and diversified; it is quantitatively analyzed to categorize companies as dominant, leading, strong, tentative, and weak.
The market is experiencing exponential growth, driven by the increasing popularity of this spirit in bars and pubs, particularly during happy hours and cocktail culture events. The residential sector also plays a significant role in the market's expansion, with consumers increasingly opting for premium Japanese whiskey for personal consumption. The industry's growth can be attributed to various factors, including the rise of mixology and social media trends, the on-trade segment's growth, and the expansion of off-trade distribution through retail shops and online retail channels. Quantitative data indicates a steady increase in sales, both online and offline, driven by consumer buying behavior influenced by economic, political, and social scenarios.
Product pricing remains a critical factor in the market's competitiveness, with major players focusing on competitive advantage through historical pricing trends and innovation. The market's end application industries include the commercial development sector, suppliers, end consumers, manufacturers, intermediaries, and the commodity and service sectors. The market outlook remains positive, with a competitive landscape shaped by major players and new entrants. Company profiles and supplier information are essential for understanding the market's dynamics.
Market Scope |
|
Report Coverage |
Details |
Page number |
144 |
Base year |
2023 |
Historic period |
2018-2022 |
Forecast period |
2024-2028 |
Growth momentum & CAGR |
Accelerate at a CAGR of 11.8% |
Market growth 2024-2028 |
USD 874.5 million |
Market structure |
Concentrated |
YoY growth 2023-2024(%) |
9.8 |
Regional analysis |
APAC, North America, Europe, South America, and Middle East and Africa |
Performing market contribution |
APAC at 72% |
Key countries |
Japan, US, UK, Taiwan, and Australia |
Competitive landscape |
Leading Companies, Market Positioning of Companies, Competitive Strategies, and Industry Risks |
Key companies profiled |
Asahi Group Holdings Ltd., Honbo Sake Brewery Co. Ltd., KAIYO JAPANESE MIZUNARA OAK WHISKY, Kamiki Whisky, Kirin Holdings Co. Ltd., Komasa Kanosuke Distillery Co. Ltd., Matsui Shuzo An Unlimited Partnership, SHIN Group Corp., Suntory Holdings Ltd., Tokuoka Co. Ltd., and Umiki |
Market dynamics |
Parent market analysis, market growth inducers and obstacles, market forecast, fast-growing and slow-growing segment analysis, COVID-19 impact and recovery analysis and future consumer dynamics, market condition analysis for the market forecast period |
Customization purview |
If our market report has not included the data that you are looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and get segments customized. |
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1 Executive Summary
2 Market Landscape
3 Market Sizing
4 Historic Market Size
5 Five Forces Analysis
6 Market Segmentation by End-user
7 Market Segmentation by Distribution Channel
8 Customer Landscape
9 Geographic Landscape
10 Drivers, Challenges, and Opportunity/Restraints
11 Competitive Landscape
12 Competitive Analysis
13 Appendix
Research Framework
Technavio presents a detailed picture of the market by way of study, synthesis, and summation of data from multiple sources. The analysts have presented the various facets of the market with a particular focus on identifying the key industry influencers. The data thus presented is comprehensive, reliable, and the result of extensive research, both primary and secondary.
INFORMATION SOURCES
Primary sources
Secondary sources
DATA ANALYSIS
Data Synthesis
Data Validation
REPORT WRITING
Qualitative
Quantitative
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